Home โ†’ AI for Project Managers โ†’ Module 9

Module 9: Data Analysis & Reporting

Analyze project data, create visualizations, build dashboards, and generate insights that drive better decision-making.

๐Ÿ“š Week 5 ๐ŸŽฏ Advanced

๐ŸŽฏ What You'll Master

Transform raw project data into actionable insights using AI
Generate executive dashboards that tell compelling data stories
Identify trends, patterns, and anomalies in project metrics
Create data-driven recommendations that influence decisions

The Data Analysis Blind Spot

Project Managers collect mountains of data: velocity metrics, budget burn rates, sprint performance, team capacity, risk registers. But collecting data โ‰  using data. Most PMs lack the analytical skills to turn spreadsheets into insights that drive better decisions.

๐Ÿ“‰ The Data Problem:

Result: Data exists but doesn't inform decisions.

ChatGPT acts as your data analystโ€”helping you identify meaningful patterns, generate visualizations, and translate numbers into narratives that executives understand and act on.

๐Ÿ“ˆ 1. Analyzing Project Performance Metrics

The first step is understanding which metrics matter and what they're telling you. AI helps you move beyond surface-level reporting to root cause analysis.

Essential PM Metrics by Category

โฑ๏ธ Schedule Performance

๐Ÿ’ฐ Budget & Cost

๐Ÿ› Quality Metrics

๐Ÿ‘ฅ Team Health

ChatGPT Metrics Analysis Prompt

Analyze these project metrics and provide insights:

Project: [E-commerce Platform Redesign]
Duration: [16 weeks, currently in Week 10]

SCHEDULE METRICS:
- Sprint Velocity: [Week 1-4: 32 pts, Week 5-7: 28 pts, Week 8-10: 22 pts]
- Planned vs Actual: [Behind by 12 story points cumulative]
- Milestone Hit Rate: [4/7 milestones delivered on time = 57%]

BUDGET METRICS:
- Total Budget: [$500K]
- Spent to Date: [$340K (68% of budget at 62.5% timeline)]
- Monthly Burn: [Month 1: $100K, Month 2: $120K, Month 3: $120K]
- Forecast at Completion: [$550K (10% over budget)]

QUALITY METRICS:
- Bugs Found: [Sprint 1-3: 12 bugs, Sprint 4-6: 28 bugs, Sprint 7-9: 45 bugs]
- Escaped Defects: [3 critical bugs found in staging]
- Test Coverage: [62% (target: 80%)]

TEAM HEALTH:
- Team Size: [12 people]
- Turnover: [1 developer left Week 7, replacement started Week 9]
- Utilization: [85% average]

Analyze:
1. What trends or patterns are concerning?
2. What's the root cause of declining performance?
3. What risks do these metrics indicate?
4. What actions should I take immediately?
5. What should I communicate to executives?

Be specific and actionable.

โœจ AI-Generated Metrics Analysis:

๐Ÿšจ Critical Findings:

1. VELOCITY DECLINING 31% (Red Flag)

  • Trend: Velocity dropped from 32 pts โ†’ 28 pts โ†’ 22 pts (31% decline)
  • Root Cause: Developer departure in Week 7 + increasing technical debt
  • Impact: 12 story points behind = ~1.5 weeks delay at current velocity
  • Action: Reduce scope by 10-15 story points OR extend timeline by 2 weeks

2. BUG RATE TRIPLING (Quality Crisis)

  • Trend: 12 bugs โ†’ 28 bugs โ†’ 45 bugs (275% increase)
  • Root Cause: Rushing features + 62% test coverage (below 80% target)
  • Impact: 3 critical bugs already escaped to staging; risk of launch delay
  • Action: Dedicate next sprint to bug fixes + increase test coverage to 75%+

3. BUDGET OVERRUN LIKELY (10% Over)

  • Trend: 68% budget spent at 62.5% timeline = burning 9% faster than planned
  • Root Cause: Replacement developer costs + overtime to meet deadlines
  • Impact: Forecast $550K vs $500K budget = $50K overage
  • Action: Negotiate scope reduction to stay within budget OR secure additional $50K

๐Ÿ’ก Root Cause Summary:

The Developer Departure in Week 7 Had Cascading Effects:

  1. Velocity Loss: Lost experienced developer mid-project
  2. Quality Issues: Team rushed to compensate, cutting corners on testing
  3. Budget Burn: Replacement cost + overtime increased spending
  4. Morale Impact: Team working 85% utilization under pressure

This is a resource risk that materialized and wasn't adequately mitigated.

๐ŸŽฏ Recommended Actions (Priority Order):

IMMEDIATE (This Week):

  1. Scope Negotiation: Meet with stakeholders to cut 12-15 story points (lowest value features)
  2. Bug Sprint: Dedicate next sprint (Week 11) to bug fixes onlyโ€”no new features
  3. Test Coverage Push: Require all new code to have 80%+ test coverage

SHORT-TERM (Next 2 Weeks):

  1. Timeline Adjustment: Extend launch by 2 weeks (Week 18 instead of 16)
  2. Budget Approval: Request $50K additional budget OR identify cost cuts
  3. Team Capacity: Reduce utilization target to 75% to prevent further burnout

ONGOING:

  1. Weekly Velocity Tracking: Monitor if velocity stabilizes at 24-26 pts
  2. Bug Triage Meetings: Daily 15-min bug reviews until count drops below 20
  3. Onboarding Check: Ensure new developer is productive (pair programming, mentorship)

๐Ÿ“ข Executive Communication (What to Say):

Subject: Project Status Update โ€” Timeline & Budget Adjustment Needed

"We've encountered a quality and velocity challenge following our developer departure in Week 7. Bug rates have tripled, and velocity has declined 31%. To deliver a quality product, I recommend:

  1. 2-week timeline extension (launch Week 18 instead of 16)
  2. Reduce scope by 12 story points (removing lowest-priority features)
  3. $50K budget increase OR identify features to cut to stay within $500K

This ensures we launch with acceptable quality vs rushing a buggy product. Happy to discuss trade-offs."

๐Ÿ“‰ 2. Identifying Trends & Patterns

Historical data reveals patterns that predict future outcomes. AI helps you spot trends before they become crises.

Trend Analysis Prompt

Analyze these historical trends and make predictions:

Project Sprint Velocity (Last 12 Sprints):
Sprint 1: 28 pts
Sprint 2: 30 pts
Sprint 3: 32 pts
Sprint 4: 31 pts
Sprint 5: 29 pts
Sprint 6: 27 pts
Sprint 7: 25 pts
Sprint 8: 22 pts
Sprint 9: 21 pts
Sprint 10: 20 pts
Sprint 11: 19 pts
Sprint 12: 18 pts (current)

Team Changes:
- Sprint 3: Added 2 junior developers
- Sprint 7: Senior developer left
- Sprint 9: New senior developer started

Questions:
1. What trends do you see in velocity over time?
2. How did team changes impact performance?
3. What's the projected velocity for Sprints 13-16?
4. When will the team recover to Sprint 1-4 levels (28-32 pts)?
5. Should we be concerned about burnout or technical debt?

Provide data-driven predictions with confidence levels.

โœจ AI Trend Analysis:

๐Ÿ“Š Velocity Trend Breakdown:

Phase 1: Growth (Sprints 1-3)

Velocity: 28 โ†’ 30 โ†’ 32 pts (+14%)

Cause: Team ramping up, building momentum

Event: 2 junior devs added Sprint 3

Phase 2: Plateau (Sprints 4-6)

Velocity: 31 โ†’ 29 โ†’ 27 pts (-13%)

Cause: Junior dev onboarding overhead

Signal: Normal dip when adding team members

Phase 3: Decline (Sprints 7-9)

Velocity: 25 โ†’ 22 โ†’ 21 pts (-16%)

Cause: Senior dev departure Sprint 7

Impact: Lost domain knowledge + handoff delays

Phase 4: Crisis (Sprints 10-12)

Velocity: 20 โ†’ 19 โ†’ 18 pts (-10%)

Cause: Technical debt + burnout

Warning: Still declining despite new hire

๐Ÿ”ฎ Projections for Sprints 13-16:

Scenario 1: No Intervention (40% confidence)

  • Sprint 13: 17 pts
  • Sprint 14: 16 pts
  • Sprint 15: 15 pts
  • Sprint 16: 15 pts
  • Risk: Velocity continues declining to 15 pts (53% below peak)

Scenario 2: Intervention (Bug Sprint + Scope Cut) (70% confidence)

  • Sprint 13: 0 pts (dedicated bug fix sprint)
  • Sprint 14: 22 pts (bounce back as tech debt clears)
  • Sprint 15: 24 pts
  • Sprint 16: 25 pts
  • Recovery: Return to Sprint 5-7 levels (25-27 pts) by Sprint 16

Scenario 3: Aggressive Recovery (Scope Cut + Team Rest) (50% confidence)

  • Sprint 13: 0 pts (bug fixes)
  • Sprint 14: 20 pts (gradual ramp)
  • Sprint 15: 26 pts
  • Sprint 16: 28 pts
  • Full Recovery: Back to Sprint 1 baseline (28 pts) by Sprint 16

โš ๏ธ Burnout & Technical Debt Indicators:

YES, Multiple Red Flags Present:

  1. Consistent Decline (6 Sprints): Velocity down 44% from peak (32 โ†’ 18 pts)
  2. New Hire Not Helping: Senior dev joined Sprint 9, but velocity still dropping
  3. Quality Issues: Likely accumulating technical debt (implied by continued decline)
  4. Team Exhaustion: Working harder but producing less = burnout signal

Recommendation: Immediate intervention required. Without action, expect velocity to bottom out at 15 pts (47% below sustainable levels).

๐Ÿ“Š 3. Building Executive Dashboards

Executives don't want 20 pages of dataโ€”they want one-page dashboards with key insights. AI helps you design dashboards that tell a story and drive decisions.

Dashboard Design Prompt

Design an executive dashboard for this project:

Project: [Mobile App Launch]
Audience: [C-suite executives (CEO, CFO, CTO)]
Frequency: [Monthly update]

Key Metrics to Include:
- Schedule: [On track / X weeks behind]
- Budget: [X% spent, $Y remaining]
- Quality: [Defect count, test coverage]
- Team: [Headcount, utilization, turnover]
- Risks: [High-priority risks]
- Milestones: [Next 3 milestones with dates]

Executive Questions to Answer:
1. Are we going to launch on time?
2. Will we stay within budget?
3. What are the biggest risks?
4. What decisions do you need from me?

Design:
- Single-page visual layout
- Traffic light indicators (Red/Yellow/Green)
- 3-5 key insights at top
- Minimal text, maximum clarity
- Focus on trends, not raw numbers

Provide dashboard structure and content.

โœจ AI-Generated Executive Dashboard:

Mobile App Launch โ€” Executive Dashboard

Reporting Period: January 2024 | Project Week: 10 of 16


๐ŸŽฏ Executive Summary

  • Status: ๐ŸŸก YELLOW โ€” Minor delays, on track for recovery
  • Key Issue: Developer departure caused 2-week slip; mitigated with scope cut
  • Decision Needed: Approve 2-week timeline extension OR $50K budget increase

๐Ÿ“… Schedule

๐ŸŸก 2wks

Status: Behind by 2 weeks

Mitigation: Cut 12 story points from scope

New Launch: Week 18 (March 15)

๐Ÿ’ฐ Budget

๐ŸŸก 68%

Spent: $340K of $500K

Forecast: $550K (10% over)

Action: Need $50K approval OR cut features

๐Ÿ› Quality

๐Ÿ”ด 45

Active Bugs: 45 (tripled in 6 weeks)

Test Coverage: 62% (target: 80%)

Action: Dedicating Sprint 11 to bug fixes

๐Ÿ‘ฅ Team Health

๐ŸŸก 85%

Utilization: 85% (high risk of burnout)

Headcount: 12 (1 departure, 1 new hire)

Action: Reduce to 75% utilization

โš ๏ธ Top 3 Risks

  1. Quality Crisis (HIGH): Bug rate tripling may delay launch further if not addressed
  2. Budget Overrun (MEDIUM): Trending 10% over; need approval or scope cut
  3. Team Burnout (MEDIUM): 85% utilization unsustainable; risk of more turnover

๐Ÿ“ Next 3 Milestones

Sprint 11 (Week 11): Bug Fix Sprint โ€” Clear 70% of active bugs Feb 1
UAT Launch (Week 14): Begin user acceptance testing with 50 beta users Feb 22
Production Launch (Week 18): Go-live with full feature set (minus 12 pts cut) Mar 15

โœ… Decisions Needed This Week

  1. Timeline Extension: Approve 2-week delay (March 15 launch)
  2. Budget Increase: Approve $50K additional budget OR identify $50K in scope cuts
  3. Feature Prioritization: Sign off on 12 story points to cut from scope

๐ŸŽฏ Practice Exercise: Root Cause Analysis from Data

Scenario:

You're analyzing Q4 project data and notice customer satisfaction scores dropped from 8.5/10 to 6.2/10 over 3 months. Leadership wants to know why and what to do about it.

Data Provided:

Your Task:

  1. Identify the correlation: Which metrics are connected?
  2. Find the root cause: What triggered the decline?
  3. Quantify the impact: How much revenue is at risk?
  4. Recommend actions: What should leadership do immediately?
View AI Analysis โ†“

Root Cause Analysis:

๐Ÿ“Š Correlation Analysis:

  • NPS Drop (27%): 8.5 โ†’ 6.2 = -2.3 points (27% decline)
  • Support Tickets (275% increase): 12/wk โ†’ 45/wk
  • Bug Reports (650% increase): 2 โ†’ 15 bugs
  • Correlation: As bugs increased, so did support tickets and NPS declined

๐Ÿ” Root Cause:

The November feature launch was rushed due to developer departures:

  1. 2 developers left โ†’ reduced QA capacity
  2. Feature launch rushed to meet deadline
  3. Insufficient testing โ†’ 15 bugs shipped to production
  4. Bugs caused user frustration โ†’ NPS dropped
  5. Support team overwhelmed โ†’ slower ticket resolution โ†’ more frustration

๐Ÿ’ฐ Revenue Impact:

  • NPS drop from 8.5 to 6.2 = 27% decline
  • Typical correlation: 10-point NPS drop = 5-10% churn increase
  • If customer base = 1,000 accounts at $5K/yr = $5M ARR
  • Estimated churn risk: $250K-$500K ARR (5-10%)

โœ… Recommended Actions:

  1. Immediate (This Week): Fix all 15 bugs in production
  2. Week 2: Proactive customer outreach to affected accounts
  3. Week 3: Implement mandatory QA process for all releases
  4. Month 2: Track NPS recovery; target 7.5+ by Feb

๐ŸŽ“ Key Takeaways

๐ŸŽ‰ Congratulations! You've Completed the Course!

You've mastered all 9 modules of AI for Project Managers. You can now use AI to plan projects, manage risks, lead teams, run meetings, and analyze dataโ€”transforming how you work and multiplying your productivity.

What You've Learned:

Keep practicing, keep iterating, and remember: AI is your co-pilot, not your replacement. You bring the judgment, experience, and human touch. AI amplifies your capabilities. ๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ“ Knowledge Check

Test your understanding of AI for data analysis and reporting!

1. How can AI help PMs with data analysis?

A) By replacing all analytical thinking
B) Data analysis doesn't need AI
C) By identifying patterns and generating insights from project data
D) By making data more complex

2. What can AI assist with in project reporting?

A) Making reports longer
B) Creating visualizations and executive summaries
C) Hiding important metrics
D) Reporting is manual only

3. How should PMs use AI for metrics analysis?

A) Identify trends and anomalies in performance data
B) Ignore metrics entirely
C) Accept all AI interpretations without validation
D) Metrics don't need analysis

4. What is important when using AI for forecasting?

A) AI forecasts are always perfect
B) No data validation needed
C) Ignore uncertainty ranges
D) Consider data quality and validate predictions with project context

5. How can AI improve dashboard creation?

A) By making dashboards confusing
B) By suggesting relevant KPIs and visualization types
C) Dashboards don't use AI
D) By showing all possible data
๐ŸŽ“

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  • โœ… Official completion verification
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